Milder winter ‘than normal’ predicted by weather forecasters in Spain

Aemet, the Spanish state weather agency, predicts a milder winter than usual.

It said that was the ‘most likely scenario’ for December, January, and February.

Aemet’s seasonal report says it is likely that ‘temperatures will be above average throughout the country, with a probability of 60% on the mainland and 70% in the islands’.

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In contrast, it suggests that ‘there is only a 10% chance that the winter will be colder than normal’.

Ruben Del Campo, spokesperson for Aemet, said that the prediction doesn’t mean there won’t be any cold snaps or snowfalls through February.

In fact, as from December 22, temperatures are expected to be low, but he stressed that there is still ‘a lot of uncertainty’ in the forecast.

Del Campo explained that in the south west of Spain there is a 40 percent chance that winter will be dryer than normal. There’s a 25 percent chance it will rain more.

He added that “in the rest of the nation, there is no clear pattern and both scenarios are equally probable.”

Meanwhile with just over two weeks remaining of the year, Aemet says that it is ‘highly likely’ that 2025 will finish as the third or fourth-warmest year since its current recording methods started in 1961.

In order, the three hottest decades since 1961 have been 2022-2023 and 2024.

Del Campo reported that Spain experienced two heat waves this year. One of them, the June one, was particularly notable, as it had temperatures 3.7C over average.

The Olive Press provides weather updates.